But, let’s stay with shoes for now. Here’s Google Trends for
2004-present for the four indicated search terms. Annotations are of events
that I knew or googled that plausibly explain some of the trends.
Following are some notes and links corresponding to the above
trends and annotations.
[1] McDougall, Christopher, 2009. Born to run: A hidden tribe,superathletes, and the greatest race the world has never seen, featuring Tarahumara runners in sandals. Publication of this
book led to a peak interest in barefoot running over the next 2-3 years.
[2] Hoka One One, the beginning of a slow but steadily rising interest in maximalist
shoes (backlash to minimalist shoes?).
[3] Minimalist shoes sale boom, with a small lag following the publication of Born to Run (min_1; min_2); these two articles are just to reference the “sales up 303%” in the Google Trends chart above.
[5] Vaporfly approval by World Athletics and what led to the review and ruling.
It’s almost like, at some point between the releases of the Hokas and Vaporflys, someone thought, hmm, that’s a lot of space in those soles just for cushioning … (1, 2). But, even before Vaporfly, the basic idea already existed, e.g., various you-gotta-be-kidding-me spring-loaded shoes.
With the advantage these spring-contraption shoes provides, is there an “asterisk” problem for elite runners? Evidently, yes, for now anyway. For example, last month, Chris Thompson qualified for the marathon event of the upcoming delayed 2020 Summer Olympics, after winning the 2021 British Athletics Marathon--wearing a blacked-out pair of Vaporfly. Why blacked out? Because his shoe sponsor doesn’t make Vaporfly. (He did have his sponsor’s permission to wear the Vaporfly, though—if blacked out.) Then, a couple weeks later, Beth Potter broke the world record for 5K while wearing shoes similar to Vaporfly but made by Asics. (Her WR may not be official, though, because there were no “certified timekeepers or drug testers on site.”) Apparently responding to questions about her shoes, Potter said, “But all athletes now have access to the same level of shoes, so it’s a level playing field.”
But, if everyone has to wear these shoes (blacked-out or not) to
be competitive, then it's basically everyone normalizing to a faster base
speed. The competition reverts to what it was before these shoes, plus perhaps
a small competitive delta based on who can get more or less out of the claimed
4% improvement. What's the point, then? Other than Nike and other companies making
lots of money.
And, for the rest of us, there’s a similar asterisk problem. What
does “I ran a new 4% PR!” mean, if done with a 4%-improvement Vaporfly? As with
age-grading, is there going to be shoe-grading, to account for runners who will
be racing with and without these shoes? :)
Regardless of the pros and cons of these various types of shoes (or no shoes), I’m a minimalist runner. I run, minimally. My transition from
traditional running shoes to minimalist shoes began some 10 years ago and took
more than a year. First was Nike Free, then followed by Merrell’s Trail Glove, Bare
Access, and Vapor Glove, Vibram FiveFingers, and occasionally sandals and
barefoot. Below left is my first pair of Trail Glove (still the all-time favorite!), and below right is
the latest pair of FiveFingers (lightest of them all, except for barefoot; great
for traveling!)
Running is more, much more, than speed, PRs, or even WRs. Too much
focus on speed and technology misses the meaning of running. It’s certainly not
why I run. Now, one might say, well, yes, but competition brings out the best. Exactly.
😊 In the runner, not
shoes.
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